Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bolland wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.0% vs Backes 54.2% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 84.1%
Defensive zone
Bolland 82.5%
Neutral zone
Bolland 84.8%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Bolland
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Bolland
Backes
Last 10: Bolland 2-8 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Backes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Bolland
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
6
Bolland
Backes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (716)
54.5% (822)
-9.9%
Power Play
58.1% (74)
58.9% (141)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (141)
51.5% (167)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Bolland is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Bolland shoots right. Backes is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Bolland
Backes
Home
45.5% (446)
55.3% (524)
Away
43.5% (485)
54.0% (606)
By Period
Bolland
Backes
P1
44.6%
53.2%
P2
45.6%
54.2%
P3
44.2%
57.1%
OT
27.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.3%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.5%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |