Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Backes 50.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 38-34 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 63.6%
Defensive zone
Bolland 67.0%
Neutral zone
Bolland 64.0%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Bolland
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
38
(72 meetings)
34
38
Bolland
Backes
Last 10: Bolland 3-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Bolland
Backes
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
8
12
Bolland
Backes
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
19
19
Bolland
Backes
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
51.1% (5,772)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
50.8% (1,082)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
47.4% (930)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Bolland
Backes
Home
48.2% (2,258)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Bolland
Backes
P1
45.8%
50.1%
P2
45.8%
51.5%
P3
47.0%
50.8%
OT
35.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:58 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | David Backes |