Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Thornton 54.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Bolland 58.1%
Defensive zone
Bolland 79.5%
Neutral zone
Bolland 75.3%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Bolland
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Bolland
Thornton
Last 10: Bolland 6-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
6
Bolland
Thornton
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
8
4
Bolland
Thornton
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
7
Bolland
Thornton
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
53.5% (6,640)
-6.9%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
57.2% (1,387)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
56.7% (427)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Bolland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Bolland shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Bolland
Thornton
Home
48.2% (2,258)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Bolland
Thornton
P1
45.8%
55.0%
P2
45.8%
53.3%
P3
47.0%
54.4%
OT
35.9%
56.4%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 10, 2012 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:16 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |