Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Hayes 47.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 73.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 53.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Bolland
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Bolland
Hayes
Last 8: Bolland 6-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
4
0
Bolland
Hayes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
47.5% (6,708)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
51.7% (702)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
45.3% (697)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Bolland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Bolland shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Bolland
Hayes
Home
48.2% (2,258)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Bolland
Hayes
P1
45.8%
47.5%
P2
45.8%
47.6%
P3
47.0%
47.9%
OT
35.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
45.8%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |