Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 46.9%). Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Foligno 47.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.3%
Defensive zone
Bolland 60.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.8%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Bolland
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bolland
Foligno
Last 5: Bolland 4-1 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
1
Bolland
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
47.6% (553)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
56.3% (64)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
34.2% (76)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Bolland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Bolland shoots right. Foligno is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Bolland
Foligno
Home
48.2% (2,258)
46.0% (365)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
47.9% (328)
By Period
Bolland
Foligno
P1
45.8%
48.7%
P2
45.8%
49.8%
P3
47.0%
42.7%
OT
35.9%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.8%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |