Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 48.5% vs Duchene 50.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.0%
Defensive zone
Bolland 78.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.2%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Bolland
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bolland
Duchene
Last 7: Bolland 4-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
4
0
Bolland
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Bolland
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (913)
51.0% (357)
-1.5%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
53.6% (28)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
50.0% (2)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Bolland is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Bolland shoots right. Duchene is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Bolland
Duchene
Home
50.8% (622)
51.0% (208)
Away
45.8% (581)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Bolland
Duchene
P1
47.1%
53.3%
P2
47.8%
53.4%
P3
50.9%
44.6%
OT
39.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |