Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Duchene 54.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 33-30 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 52.3%
Defensive zone
Bolland 72.8%
Neutral zone
Bolland 62.4%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Bolland
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
33
(63 meetings)
30
33
Bolland
Duchene
Last 10: Bolland 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
8
7
Bolland
Duchene
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
10
7
Bolland
Duchene
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
12
19
Bolland
Duchene
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
53.9% (10,396)
-7.3%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
56.9% (1,665)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
49.1% (468)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Bolland is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,089).
Bolland shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Bolland
Duchene
Home
48.2% (2,258)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Bolland
Duchene
P1
45.8%
54.5%
P2
45.8%
54.5%
P3
47.0%
53.4%
OT
35.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |