Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.7% vs Duchene 57.0% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 89.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Bolland
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bolland
Duchene
Last 5: Bolland 3-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Bolland
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
0
Bolland
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (264)
56.5% (527)
-10.7%
Power Play
76.2% (21)
61.6% (185)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (56)
59.3% (27)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Bolland is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Bolland shoots right. Duchene is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Bolland
Duchene
Home
45.9% (170)
57.6% (403)
Away
45.6% (171)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Bolland
Duchene
P1
39.5%
61.4%
P2
49.3%
58.5%
P3
48.4%
54.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |