Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.8% vs Gagner 44.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 55.1%
Defensive zone
Bolland 55.9%
Neutral zone
Bolland 55.9%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Bolland
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bolland
Gagner
Last 7: Bolland 4-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Bolland
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Bolland
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
0
Bolland
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (411)
42.1% (575)
+4.4%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
55.3% (123)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
34.9% (43)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bolland is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Bolland shoots right. Gagner is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Bolland
Gagner
Home
51.4% (280)
45.6% (375)
Away
39.9% (238)
42.1% (366)
By Period
Bolland
Gagner
P1
48.0%
40.1%
P2
41.5%
42.2%
P3
48.3%
48.2%
OT
57.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |