Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 45.9%). Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Gagner 46.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 72.4%
Defensive zone
Bolland 71.6%
Neutral zone
Bolland 53.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Bolland
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Bolland
Gagner
Last 10: Bolland 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
9
Bolland
Gagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
2
Bolland
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
10
7
Bolland
Gagner
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
45.4% (4,699)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
51.5% (928)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
35.0% (226)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Bolland has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Bolland
Gagner
Home
48.2% (2,258)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Bolland
Gagner
P1
45.8%
44.6%
P2
45.8%
46.1%
P3
47.0%
47.3%
OT
35.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |