Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Bolland wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.1% vs Gionta 41.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 67.7%
Defensive zone
Bolland 64.6%
Neutral zone
Bolland 59.2%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Bolland
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Bolland
Gionta
Last 9: Bolland 5-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
3
2
Bolland
Gionta
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,388)
40.6% (1,902)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.1% (355)
61.5% (26)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (585)
40.1% (292)
+0.6%
On power play, Gionta has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Bolland is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,249).
Bolland shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Bolland
Gionta
Home
48.2% (2,258)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
43.8% (2,080)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Bolland
Gionta
P1
45.8%
40.8%
P2
45.8%
41.8%
P3
47.0%
39.8%
OT
35.9%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |