Scouting Report
Brayden Schenn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 52.0% vs Backes 50.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 59.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 60.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 51.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Schenn
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Schenn
Backes
Last 7: Schenn 2-5 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
2
1
Schenn
Backes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Schenn
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Schenn
Backes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (562)
55.3% (123)
-3.2%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
25.0% (4)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
36.4% (33)
+28.6%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Schenn is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Schenn shoots left. Backes is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Schenn
Backes
Home
54.3% (293)
46.6% (103)
Away
50.5% (315)
57.9% (57)
By Period
Schenn
Backes
P1
52.0%
52.1%
P2
49.1%
52.0%
P3
55.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
56.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | David Backes |