Scouting Report
Darryl Boyce holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Backes 44.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 54.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 57.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 54.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Boyce
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Boyce
Backes
Last 8: Boyce 1-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
2
Boyce
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
5
Boyce
Backes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
45.3% (819)
+1.4%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
42.1% (190)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
40.5% (111)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Boyce shoots left. Backes is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (907).
Home / Away
Boyce
Backes
Home
51.5% (239)
42.9% (581)
Away
40.8% (218)
46.1% (557)
By Period
Boyce
Backes
P1
47.7%
40.1%
P2
46.5%
47.3%
P3
44.8%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |