Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 44.5%). Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Bolland wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.6% vs Backes 44.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Bolland leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 68.2%
Defensive zone
Bolland 70.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 56.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Bolland
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Bolland
Backes
Last 10: Bolland 6-4 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
3
Bolland
Backes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
0
Bolland
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
5
2
Bolland
Backes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (781)
45.3% (819)
+0.7%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
42.1% (190)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (141)
40.5% (111)
-1.5%
On power play, Bolland has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Bolland is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Bolland shoots right. Backes is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Bolland
Backes
Home
45.9% (540)
42.9% (581)
Away
44.2% (468)
46.1% (557)
By Period
Bolland
Backes
P1
45.0%
40.1%
P2
44.7%
47.3%
P3
46.5%
45.1%
OT
23.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.7%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |