Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Moss shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Moss 44.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 64.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 61.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 60.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Backes
Moss
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Backes
Moss
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Moss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
0
Backes
Moss
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
0
1
Backes
Moss
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moss
2
4
Backes
Moss
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Moss
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
43.7% (158)
+5.4%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
43.8% (16)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
34.9% (43)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moss shoots right. Backes is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Backes shoots right. Moss is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Backes
Moss
Home
48.1% (690)
52.6% (95)
Away
49.2% (663)
34.4% (125)
By Period
Backes
Moss
P1
49.0%
37.7%
P2
50.2%
42.6%
P3
47.5%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |