Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Moss 43.1% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Moss leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Moss 56.0%
Defensive zone
Moss 54.2%
Neutral zone
Moss 56.3%
Result
David Moss favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Backes
Moss
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Backes
Moss
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Moss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
1
Backes
Moss
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
0
2
Backes
Moss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moss
2
4
Backes
Moss
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Moss
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
42.1% (503)
+9.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
44.8% (58)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
39.5% (114)
+7.9%
On even strength, Backes has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moss shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Moss is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Backes
Moss
Home
50.6% (3,936)
47.0% (336)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
37.3% (343)
By Period
Backes
Moss
P1
50.1%
38.7%
P2
51.5%
41.9%
P3
50.8%
45.8%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | David Moss |