David Backes vs Derek MacKenzie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 18-14 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 70.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 53.4%
Neutral zone
Backes 52.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Backes
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
18
(32 meetings)
14
18
Backes
MacKenzie
Last 10: Backes 5-5 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
8
5
Backes
MacKenzie
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
7
Backes
MacKenzie
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
6
Backes
MacKenzie
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
54.9% (3,660)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
55.9% (102)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.7% (1,158)
+0.7%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
Home / Away
Backes
MacKenzie
Home
50.6% (3,936)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Backes
MacKenzie
P1
50.1%
51.9%
P2
51.5%
53.0%
P3
50.8%
54.0%
OT
42.9%
65.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 17:42 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 17:33 | Offensive | David Backes |