Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 37.3% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 45.0% vs Strome 48.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 52.9%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 52.1%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Backes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backes
Strome
Last 6: Backes 1-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Backes
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Backes
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (67)
47.7% (533)
-7.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.0% (40)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.5% (8)
-37.5%
On power play, Strome has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Backes is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Backes shoots right. Strome is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Backes
Strome
Home
44.2% (52)
50.8% (244)
Away
21.1% (19)
45.4% (337)
By Period
Backes
Strome
P1
38.9%
50.3%
P2
30.8%
44.1%
P3
44.4%
49.2%
Final 5 min
41.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
38.0%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |