Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.6%). Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Strome 51.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 73.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 79.8%
Neutral zone
Backes 51.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Backes
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Backes
Strome
Last 7: Backes 2-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Backes
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Backes
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.1% (6,337)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
58.4% (1,519)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
45.6% (68)
+1.8%
On power play, Strome has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Strome is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,655).
Home / Away
Backes
Strome
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Backes
Strome
P1
50.1%
50.4%
P2
51.5%
52.1%
P3
50.8%
52.3%
OT
42.9%
52.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | David Backes |