Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Malkin 49.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 65.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 88.9%
Neutral zone
Backes 69.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Backes
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Backes
Malkin
Last 6: Backes 5-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
1
Backes
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
48.2% (612)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
80.0% (5)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
100.0% (4)
-44.5%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Malkin is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Backes
Malkin
Home
53.3% (599)
53.4% (305)
Away
50.2% (602)
44.3% (316)
By Period
Backes
Malkin
P1
53.5%
45.6%
P2
50.3%
46.6%
P3
51.5%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | David Backes |