Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Malkin 45.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 63.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 93.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 83.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Backes
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
13
(35 meetings)
22
13
Backes
Malkin
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
8
7
Backes
Malkin
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
10
3
Backes
Malkin
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
4
3
Backes
Malkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
45.6% (10,081)
+5.5%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
50.1% (668)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
32.2% (59)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Backes
Malkin
Home
50.6% (3,936)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Backes
Malkin
P1
50.1%
45.9%
P2
51.5%
46.2%
P3
50.8%
45.2%
OT
42.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 15:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | David Backes |