Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Josefson 49.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Josefson 59.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 52.5%
Neutral zone
Josefson 56.5%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Backes
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backes
Josefson
Last 5: Backes 2-3 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Josefson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
2
Backes
Josefson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
49.7% (151)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
46.7% (15)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Josefson is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Backes
Josefson
Home
53.3% (599)
43.0% (93)
Away
50.2% (602)
57.3% (75)
By Period
Backes
Josefson
P1
53.5%
52.5%
P2
50.3%
47.2%
P3
51.5%
48.2%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |