Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Josefson 48.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 70.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 62.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 68.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Backes
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Backes
Josefson
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
2
Backes
Josefson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
3
Backes
Josefson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Josefson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
48.8% (2,339)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
51.9% (185)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
45.8% (312)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Josefson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Backes
Josefson
Home
50.6% (3,936)
50.5% (1,517)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
46.8% (1,329)
By Period
Backes
Josefson
P1
50.1%
46.4%
P2
51.5%
50.1%
P3
50.8%
49.8%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:57 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | David Backes |