Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 54.2% vs Josefson 49.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 87.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 80.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 85.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Backes
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Backes
Josefson
Last 5: Backes 4-1 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Josefson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Josefson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
48.8% (465)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
47.8% (23)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
52.0% (98)
-0.5%
On power play, Backes has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Josefson is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Backes
Josefson
Home
55.3% (524)
52.6% (268)
Away
54.0% (606)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Backes
Josefson
P1
53.2%
44.6%
P2
54.2%
51.2%
P3
57.1%
52.2%
OT
44.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | David Backes |