Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Wright 47.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 73.1%
Defensive zone
Wright 76.7%
Neutral zone
Wright 73.6%
Result
James Wright favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Backes
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Backes
Wright
Last 6: Backes 0-6 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
6
Backes
Wright
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
49.5% (194)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.6% (122)
+4.8%
On power play, Backes has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Wright is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Backes
Wright
Home
50.6% (3,936)
48.7% (156)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
44.7% (161)
By Period
Backes
Wright
P1
50.1%
49.5%
P2
51.5%
40.0%
P3
50.8%
51.0%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Oct 29, 2013 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | James Wright |