Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Benn 52.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 77.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 74.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 51.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Backes
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Backes
Benn
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
3
Backes
Benn
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
2
Backes
Benn
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Benn
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
52.7% (505)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
53.1% (245)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
53.6% (28)
+1.9%
On power play, Benn has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Benn is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Home / Away
Backes
Benn
Home
53.3% (599)
55.5% (398)
Away
50.2% (602)
50.0% (380)
By Period
Backes
Benn
P1
53.5%
50.2%
P2
50.3%
56.3%
P3
51.5%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | David Backes |