Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 42 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Benn 52.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 55-48 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 71.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 67.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 55.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Backes
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
48
(103 meetings)
55
48
Backes
Benn
Last 10: Backes 9-1 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
12
21
Backes
Benn
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
31
11
Backes
Benn
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
12
16
Backes
Benn
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.5% (6,450)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.5% (2,054)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
49.3% (515)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Benn is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,766).
Home / Away
Backes
Benn
Home
50.6% (3,936)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Backes
Benn
P1
50.1%
51.9%
P2
51.5%
52.6%
P3
50.8%
54.0%
OT
42.9%
62.4%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 17:08 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |