Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.6%). Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Carter 52.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 61.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 66.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 54.9%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Backes
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Backes
Carter
Last 8: Backes 2-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
5
Backes
Carter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
52.9% (289)
+1.5%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
56.5% (69)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
38.5% (26)
+1.9%
On power play, Carter has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Carter is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Backes
Carter
Home
50.8% (447)
56.4% (181)
Away
53.8% (465)
49.3% (203)
By Period
Backes
Carter
P1
51.8%
56.6%
P2
53.2%
54.0%
P3
52.8%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | David Backes |