Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 31-27 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 50.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 53.5%
Neutral zone
Backes 52.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Backes
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
31
(58 meetings)
27
31
Backes
Carter
Last 10: Backes 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
15
Backes
Carter
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
11
7
Backes
Carter
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
8
9
Backes
Carter
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
57.3% (1,554)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.3% (1,087)
+1.1%
On power play, Carter has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Backes
Carter
Home
50.6% (3,936)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Backes
Carter
P1
50.1%
53.6%
P2
51.5%
52.8%
P3
50.8%
53.1%
OT
42.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |