Scouting Report
Jim O'Brien holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Brien on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Backes wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — O'Brien shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs O'Brien 53.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Brien 59.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 65.6%
Neutral zone
Backes 51.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Backes
O'Brien
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Backes
O'Brien
Last 8: Backes 4-4 O'Brien
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
O'Brien
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
3
Backes
O'Brien
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
O'Brien
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
O'Brien
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
57.8% (45)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
100.0% (2)
-45.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
50.0% (2)
-0.7%
On power play, O'Brien has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Brien shoots right. Backes is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Backes shoots right. O'Brien is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Backes
O'Brien
Home
53.1% (573)
33.3% (6)
Away
51.1% (619)
62.8% (43)
By Period
Backes
O'Brien
P1
51.8%
56.3%
P2
52.3%
57.1%
P3
52.6%
63.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |