Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Brien on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs O'Brien 47.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 55.9%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 55.4%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 57.2%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Backes
O'Brien
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Backes
O'Brien
Last 8: Backes 4-4 O'Brien
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
O'Brien
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
3
Backes
O'Brien
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
O'Brien
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
O'Brien
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
48.8% (451)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
62.5% (8)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
41.8% (141)
+5.6%
On power play, O'Brien has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Brien shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. O'Brien is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Backes
O'Brien
Home
50.6% (3,936)
47.1% (274)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.3% (330)
By Period
Backes
O'Brien
P1
50.1%
47.2%
P2
51.5%
49.8%
P3
50.8%
43.6%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 12, 2016 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |