Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Franzen 49.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Franzen leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Franzen 51.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 61.9%
Neutral zone
Franzen 52.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Backes
Franzen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Backes
Franzen
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Franzen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
3
Backes
Franzen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
1
Backes
Franzen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
0
3
Backes
Franzen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Franzen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
46.3% (54)
+8.1%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
100.0% (3)
-52.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
40.0% (5)
+0.4%
On power play, Franzen has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Franzen shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Franzen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Backes
Franzen
Home
50.8% (447)
48.4% (31)
Away
53.8% (465)
48.4% (31)
By Period
Backes
Franzen
P1
51.8%
48.1%
P2
53.2%
60.0%
P3
52.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |