Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Franzen 49.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Franzen 54.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 82.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 62.7%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Backes
Franzen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Backes
Franzen
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Franzen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Backes
Franzen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
1
Backes
Franzen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
2
3
Backes
Franzen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Franzen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
48.5% (464)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
51.0% (149)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
42.9% (14)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Franzen shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Franzen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Backes
Franzen
Home
50.6% (3,936)
51.1% (368)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
45.6% (261)
By Period
Backes
Franzen
P1
50.1%
51.9%
P2
51.5%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
43.5%
OT
42.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 06:41 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |