Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Tavares 53.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 75.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 77.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Backes
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Backes
Tavares
Last 9: Backes 2-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Backes
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Backes
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
54.0% (1,077)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
54.5% (275)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
50.0% (18)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Tavares is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Backes
Tavares
Home
53.1% (573)
56.8% (655)
Away
51.1% (619)
51.6% (715)
By Period
Backes
Tavares
P1
51.8%
54.1%
P2
52.3%
53.9%
P3
52.6%
54.3%
OT
33.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | OT | 03:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | OT | 00:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | David Backes |