Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 33-20 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 51.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 82.3%
Neutral zone
Backes 61.3%
Result
David Backes favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Backes
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
33
(53 meetings)
20
33
Backes
Tavares
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
16
Backes
Tavares
19 total
Defensive Zone
Even
9
9
Backes
Tavares
18 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Backes
Tavares
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
54.0% (16,108)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
56.5% (4,283)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
50.6% (620)
-3.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Backes
Tavares
Home
50.6% (3,936)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Backes
Tavares
P1
50.1%
55.0%
P2
51.5%
54.1%
P3
50.8%
54.1%
OT
42.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | OT | 03:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | OT | 00:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |