Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Norris 52.1% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 54.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 51.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Backes
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
52.5% (3,089)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
53.4% (412)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
45.4% (240)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Home / Away
Backes
Norris
Home
50.6% (3,936)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Backes
Norris
P1
50.1%
55.5%
P2
51.5%
51.5%
P3
50.8%
50.1%
OT
42.9%
39.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%