Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.5%). Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Backes wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Brodziak 49.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 19-6 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 66.7%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 57.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 51.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Backes
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
19
(25 meetings)
6
19
Backes
Brodziak
Last 10: Backes 1-9 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Backes
Brodziak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
8
Backes
Brodziak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
4
9
Backes
Brodziak
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
49.3% (1,064)
-0.2%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
53.3% (105)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
47.5% (242)
-2.3%
On power play, Brodziak has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Backes is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Backes shoots right. Brodziak is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Backes
Brodziak
Home
48.1% (690)
47.8% (711)
Away
49.2% (663)
51.1% (718)
By Period
Backes
Brodziak
P1
49.0%
46.0%
P2
50.2%
52.6%
P3
47.5%
50.1%
OT
33.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2012 | OT | 04:29 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2012 | OT | 02:32 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |