Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Brodziak 49.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 34-23 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 61.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 76.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 60.7%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Backes
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
34
(57 meetings)
23
34
Backes
Brodziak
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
9
7
Backes
Brodziak
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
2
14
Backes
Brodziak
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
12
13
Backes
Brodziak
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.5% (6,432)
+0.6%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.8% (326)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
45.5% (1,344)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Home / Away
Backes
Brodziak
Home
50.6% (3,936)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Backes
Brodziak
P1
50.1%
49.2%
P2
51.5%
50.7%
P3
50.8%
49.5%
OT
42.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | OT | 01:48 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 14:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 9, 2014 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |