Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Turris 50.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 55.3%
Defensive zone
Turris 60.6%
Neutral zone
Turris 58.7%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Backes
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Backes
Turris
Last 7: Backes 2-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Backes
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
Backes
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
49.5% (1,083)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
55.1% (156)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
53.7% (190)
+1.8%
On power play, Turris has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Backes is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (353).
Backes shoots right. Turris is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Backes
Turris
Home
53.3% (599)
53.6% (703)
Away
50.2% (602)
47.8% (726)
By Period
Backes
Turris
P1
53.5%
54.3%
P2
50.3%
48.3%
P3
51.5%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2014 | OT | 04:56 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 4, 2014 | OT | 03:13 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |