Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.3%). Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Turris 50.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 62.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 63.4%
Neutral zone
Turris 52.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Backes
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Backes
Turris
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Backes
Turris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
7
5
Backes
Turris
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Backes
Turris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
50.2% (7,653)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.4% (1,312)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.6% (580)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Turris is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Backes
Turris
Home
50.6% (3,936)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Backes
Turris
P1
50.1%
51.5%
P2
51.5%
50.8%
P3
50.8%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 4, 2016 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2014 | OT | 04:56 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 4, 2014 | OT | 03:13 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |