Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 48.7% vs Couture 51.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 61.5%
Defensive zone
Backes 59.9%
Neutral zone
Couture 50.7%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Backes
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Backes
Couture
Last 7: Backes 6-1 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Couture
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (967)
51.4% (775)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.1% (189)
59.0% (78)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (168)
39.1% (46)
+6.1%
On power play, Couture has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Backes is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Backes shoots right. Couture is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Backes
Couture
Home
48.1% (690)
53.3% (407)
Away
49.2% (663)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Backes
Couture
P1
49.0%
49.8%
P2
50.2%
53.3%
P3
47.5%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | David Backes |