Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Couture 48.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 38-29 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 64.7%
Defensive zone
Backes 61.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 64.6%
Result
David Backes favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Backes
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
29
(67 meetings)
38
29
Backes
Couture
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couture
7
14
Backes
Couture
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
18
9
Backes
Couture
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
13
6
Backes
Couture
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
48.8% (8,919)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
54.6% (624)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
39.8% (992)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Backes
Couture
Home
50.6% (3,936)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Backes
Couture
P1
50.1%
47.9%
P2
51.5%
47.9%
P3
50.8%
49.2%
OT
42.9%
48.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:51 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:09 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 10:03 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |