Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Letestu 50.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Letestu 57.4%
Defensive zone
Letestu 58.9%
Neutral zone
Letestu 58.4%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Backes
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Backes
Letestu
Last 8: Backes 3-5 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Letestu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
2
Backes
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
1
2
Backes
Letestu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
50.3% (378)
+4.1%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
68.0% (25)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
44.0% (84)
-3.6%
On power play, Letestu has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Letestu is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Backes
Letestu
Home
50.8% (447)
51.9% (231)
Away
53.8% (465)
48.4% (256)
By Period
Backes
Letestu
P1
51.8%
48.0%
P2
53.2%
55.7%
P3
52.8%
45.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |