Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Letestu 52.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 50.4%
Defensive zone
Letestu 61.8%
Neutral zone
Letestu 58.3%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Backes
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Backes
Letestu
Last 10: Backes 8-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
10
6
Backes
Letestu
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
5
6
Backes
Letestu
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
5
6
Backes
Letestu
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
53.3% (4,565)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
56.0% (687)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
44.2% (1,005)
+3.2%
On power play, Letestu has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Letestu is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,854).
Home / Away
Backes
Letestu
Home
50.6% (3,936)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Backes
Letestu
P1
50.1%
51.5%
P2
51.5%
55.0%
P3
50.8%
49.8%
OT
42.9%
51.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 12:27 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 03:58 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 07:11 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |