Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.3%). Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Letestu 51.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 58.1%
Defensive zone
Letestu 53.1%
Neutral zone
Letestu 50.8%
Result
David Backes favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Backes
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Backes
Letestu
Last 7: Backes 7-0 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
3
0
Backes
Letestu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
52.5% (755)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
53.3% (167)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
46.3% (240)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Backes is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Backes shoots right. Letestu is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Backes
Letestu
Home
53.1% (573)
54.9% (554)
Away
51.1% (619)
48.0% (608)
By Period
Backes
Letestu
P1
51.8%
50.7%
P2
52.3%
54.6%
P3
52.6%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:04 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | David Backes |