Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 37-24 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 52.6%
Defensive zone
Backes 81.1%
Neutral zone
Backes 64.5%
Result
David Backes favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Backes
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
24
(61 meetings)
37
24
Backes
Scheifele
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
6
14
Backes
Scheifele
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
21
6
Backes
Scheifele
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
10
4
Backes
Scheifele
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
46.3% (12,036)
+4.8%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
50.2% (2,563)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
41.6% (598)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Backes shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Home / Away
Backes
Scheifele
Home
50.6% (3,936)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Backes
Scheifele
P1
50.1%
48.2%
P2
51.5%
45.6%
P3
50.8%
46.8%
OT
42.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 10:01 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 04:54 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:01 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | David Backes |