Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Hanzal 53.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 44-33 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 77.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 62.9%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 70.2%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Backes
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
33
(77 meetings)
44
33
Backes
Hanzal
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
9
12
Backes
Hanzal
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
19
13
Backes
Hanzal
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
16
8
Backes
Hanzal
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
54.0% (5,547)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
56.7% (1,179)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.0% (644)
+1.4%
On power play, Hanzal has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Backes
Hanzal
Home
50.6% (3,936)
55.1% (3,687)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
52.3% (3,704)
By Period
Backes
Hanzal
P1
50.1%
54.9%
P2
51.5%
53.6%
P3
50.8%
52.4%
OT
42.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |