Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Cullen 53.6% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 27-25 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 64.1%
Defensive zone
Cullen 61.2%
Neutral zone
Cullen 52.0%
Result
David Backes favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Backes
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
27
(52 meetings)
25
27
Backes
Cullen
Last 10: Backes 5-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
13
8
Backes
Cullen
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
9
12
Backes
Cullen
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
7
Backes
Cullen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
54.8% (5,371)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
52.3% (421)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
48.0% (953)
-0.6%
On even strength, Cullen has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Home / Away
Backes
Cullen
Home
50.6% (3,936)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
Backes
Cullen
P1
50.1%
54.7%
P2
51.5%
52.8%
P3
50.8%
53.3%
OT
42.9%
62.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 14, 2016 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 03:23 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | David Backes |