David Backes vs Matt Duchene

2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

David Backes holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Backes wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Backes 54.2% vs Duchene 52.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor Duchene leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Duchene 59.0%
Defensive zone Duchene 60.7%
Neutral zone Duchene 57.4%
Result Matt Duchene favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Backes Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 12 (18 meetings)
6
12
Backes Duchene
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Duchene

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Backes Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Backes Duchene
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
5
Backes Duchene
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Backes
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (822)
52.6% (1,081)
+1.9%
Power Play
58.9% (141)
49.6% (119)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (167)
41.2% (17)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +10.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Backes is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Backes shoots right. Duchene is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Backes
Duchene
Home
55.3% (524)
54.9% (625)
Away
54.0% (606)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Backes
Duchene
P1
53.2%
52.7%
P2
54.2%
54.1%
P3
57.1%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.2%
46.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%
49.5%
54.6%
Duchene
52.0%
49.5%
52.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 19, 2015 3 19:49 Offensive Matt Duchene
Jan 19, 2015 3 13:29 Defensive Matt Duchene
Jan 19, 2015 2 18:35 Defensive Matt Duchene
Jan 19, 2015 1 03:26 Defensive David Backes
Dec 29, 2014 1 19:27 Neutral Matt Duchene
Dec 23, 2014 2 17:58 Defensive David Backes
Dec 23, 2014 2 05:49 Neutral Matt Duchene
Dec 23, 2014 1 03:33 Offensive Matt Duchene
Dec 13, 2014 OT 00:00 Neutral Matt Duchene
Dec 13, 2014 3 19:46 Offensive David Backes
Dec 13, 2014 3 18:14 Defensive David Backes
Dec 13, 2014 3 15:37 Offensive David Backes
Dec 13, 2014 2 13:02 Defensive Matt Duchene
Dec 13, 2014 2 03:31 Offensive Matt Duchene
Dec 13, 2014 2 01:13 Defensive Matt Duchene
Dec 13, 2014 2 00:00 Neutral Matt Duchene
Dec 13, 2014 1 08:29 Defensive David Backes
Dec 13, 2014 1 00:00 Neutral Matt Duchene