Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.2% vs Foligno 46.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 60.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Backes
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backes
Foligno
Last 5: Backes 2-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Backes
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (179)
46.3% (566)
+5.7%
Power Play
55.8% (52)
43.4% (106)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
46.4% (69)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Backes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Backes shoots right. Foligno is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Backes
Foligno
Home
53.8% (160)
48.9% (364)
Away
47.6% (82)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Backes
Foligno
P1
53.8%
48.7%
P2
58.0%
46.9%
P3
41.4%
44.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2017 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | David Backes |